Supercomputer shows its updated predictions for the 2021/22 Premier League season

Manchester City is expected to easily win the Premier League this season, according to new predictions from FiveThirtyEight’s supercomputer. This is based on new data.

Pep Guardiola’s team leads the league table with 63 points, a slightly 3-point advantage over Liverpool, and 13 points clear over Chelsea who have been struggling since this year.

City currently has an 85% probability of winning the league title, according to FiveThirtyEight, and is expected to complete the season with 92 points.

Liverpool are expected to finish second place above Chelsea, but Jurgen Klopp’s side has only a 13% chance of winning the league.

City and Liverpool both have a 99 percent chance of qualifying for the Champions League, while Chelsea, the defending champions, has a 92 percent chance.

Arsenal are now in fifth place in the Premier League table, and the supercomputer has backed Mikel Arteta’s team to keep that position. The Gunners, though, only have a 36% probability of qualifying for the Champions League next season, according to the report.

Tottenham and Manchester United will finish fifth and sixth, respectively, according to FiveThirtyEight, with Spurs missing out on a fourth place by a point.

Top 10 in the Premier League according to the supercomputer:

1. Manchester City – 92 points

2. Liverpool – 82 points

3. Chelsea – 77 points

4. Arsenal – 65 points

5. Manchester United- 64 points

6. Tottenham – 62 points

7. West Ham – 60 points

8. Wolves – 53 points

9. Brighton – 53 points

10. Southhampton – 49 points

Apart from winning the Premier League, coach Pep Guardiola and his Manchester City team are anticipated to go all the way in the Champions League based on their Premier League form this season.

Manchester City has a 25% probability of winning the UEFA Champions League title, according to the FiveThirtyEight rankings, which is the highest in the ranking.

The rest of the top 10 is fairly typical, though Leicester’s predicted ninth-place result – four points lower than their fifth-place finish last season – will not inspire them.

Bottom Half

Norwich City, Newcastle United, and Watford are all expected to slip to the Championship, with Burnley evading the drop by one point on 34.

With Newcastle with big spending in January, things are likely to change, but the computer feels they are bound for another relegation based on their present team and recent results.

Everton has been mired in a semi-crisis for virtually the whole season, with their promising start fading quickly after Dominic Calvert-Lewin was injured and Rafa Benitez was replaced by Frank Lampard.

A 14th-place finish would very certainly spell the end for the former Chelsea coach, as Everton moves from short-term repair to short-term fix, possibly spending another £200 million on players the Big Six don’t want for little return.

This isn’t an exact science, but it’s based on statistics from the first half of the season. If we are to see any genuine variations from this, we will need to make significant changes.